Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.182041 0.218306 0.259205 0.308641 0.366667 0.432498 0.512730
2025-02-16 0.125572 0.170735 0.227666 0.304245 0.404048 0.529133 0.697130
2025-02-23 0.093111 0.139276 0.202554 0.294697 0.424323 0.598851 0.850003
2025-03-02 0.070617 0.114619 0.179378 0.280168 0.431237 0.646944 0.975240
2025-03-09 0.059577 0.103719 0.172740 0.286368 0.465940 0.735114 1.164063
2025-03-16 0.047667 0.088742 0.156775 0.274870 0.470966 0.778457 1.289653
2025-03-23 0.041573 0.082129 0.152791 0.281249 0.503884 0.866763 1.492241
2025-03-30 0.036268 0.075796 0.148040 0.285178 0.532509 0.950313 1.694773
2025-04-06 0.030865 0.068177 0.139637 0.281112 0.546266 1.009808 1.862362
2025-04-13 0.026432 0.061586 0.131994 0.277081 0.559066 1.068182 2.032731
2025-04-20 0.024124 0.058961 0.131578 0.286618 0.597750 1.175587 2.299014
2025-04-27 0.023105 0.058949 0.136385 0.307019 0.659288 1.330018 2.663990
2025-05-04 0.020967 0.056197 0.135476 0.316544 0.702516 1.458271 3.000045
2025-05-11 0.018221 0.051471 0.129595 0.314891 0.723333 1.546740 3.271411
2025-05-18 0.015385 0.045868 0.120727 0.305214 0.725867 1.599087 3.476979
2025-05-25 0.012715 0.040058 0.110290 0.290216 0.714656 1.621905 3.624884
2025-06-01 0.011550 0.038127 0.109019 0.296622 0.751873 1.748857 3.998148
2025-06-08 0.009709 0.033789 0.100815 0.284743 0.745363 1.781578 4.175996
2025-06-15 0.008888 0.032340 0.099989 0.291334 0.783220 1.914614 4.580976
2025-06-22 0.008063 0.030682 0.098296 0.295392 0.815353 2.037803 4.975115
2025-06-29 0.007064 0.028194 0.093793 0.291193 0.826309 2.113544 5.269645
2025-07-06 0.006199 0.025938 0.089548 0.287028 0.836772 2.188995 5.570021
2025-07-13 0.005813 0.025317 0.090179 0.296880 0.885197 2.359380 6.105734